DSS Project:

 

Forecasting:

This project should describe the use of Excel to construct time-series and regression models. Use these techniques to build the Firm Demand model. Your report should follow the steps outlined in the "the Modeling Process". This project covers Objective Hierarchy, Variables and Measures, Influence Diagrams, Mathematical Model Development and Testing and Validation.

 

DSS Development:

This part covers the implementation phase of the modeling process. Implement the models you developed in the forecasting project in a Decision Support System - or, create a spreadsheet model for forecasting.

 

In designing the spreadsheet model, clearly delineate between inputs and outputs, and between the various types of inputs (estimates and decision variables). Include a section on testing and validation of the DSS.

 

DSS Implementation and Use:

This part covers the DSS use phase of the Modeling process. Demonstrate (with examples) how the forecasting model can be used for decision support. Cover sensitivity analyses, scenario analysis, and goal-seeking analysis.

 

Reference Materials:

Modeling Firm Demand

Data for modeling demand