# Schedule for MgS 3100: BusinessAnalysis

The greatest challenge to any thinker is stating the problem
in a way that will allow a solution.             -Bertrand Russell

 Thomsa Whalen, Ph.D.    Send me email at 3100 a  t whalen3 d  o  t org Fax: 1-626 605 2586
 Essential Prerequisite:  CSP 2   Other Prerequisites: CSP 1&6, Math 1070 Maymester 2010 306 Aderhold
 Date pages Part 1: What-If Modeling & Monte Carlo Simulation 1 M 5/17 Course Prerequisites & Overview Introduction to Modeling Profit = Reenue - Cost REVISED 2 Tu 5/18 1-53 Simon Pie 1 Basic Model Demand = Potential - (Price * Sensitivity) Simon Pie Co. Influence Diagram 3 W 5/19 53-73 Breakeven  and Crossover Choice of Technology Xertech 4 Th 5/20 153-240 Monte Carlo Simulation Simulation by Hand Problem 18 p. 218 by hand Foslin's Housewares by hand 5 F 5/21 210-268 Simulating Two Random Variables by Hand Simluation using Vlookup Simulation using Norminv Implementation Problem 18 p. 218 by Excel Foslin's Housewares by Excel 6 M 5/24 Exam 1: What-If Modeling and Monte Carlo Simulation Bring a calculator.  Computers NOT allowed!    You may bring 1 sheet both sides of notes. Practice Exam Key to questions not on practice final
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 Date pages  of pdf Part 2: Forecasting            (Do not use textbook chapter; use my pdf) 7 Tu 5/25 Forecasting pdf Study Guide p.1-9 Introduction to Forecasting Jewelry 8 W 5/26 10-15 of pdf Introduction to Seasonality  Calculating Seasonal Indexes Creating a Deseasonalized Time Series  Creating Deseasonalized Trend Model  Forecasting Reseasonalized Values Jewelry 9 Th 5/27 Study Guide Review Seasonal Time Series Leading Indicator Models  Simultaneous Indicator Modelss Foundation Blocks Landscape Blocks Pie Processing Cost

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 Date pages Part 3: Decision Analysis & Statistical Quality Control 10 F 5/ 28 329-355 Introduction  to Statistical Quality Control                     Video Part 1      Video Part 2 What does "6 sigma" really mean? Control Chart Ex. 21-22 Capability Ex. 32,34 Memorial Day Holiday 11 Tu 6/ 1 79-102 Introduction: Decisions Under Risk  Expected Return  (also called "Expected Monetary Value") Expected Value of Perfect Information Roger Pinky Hot Dog Pushcarts Exercise 5 page 131 12 W6/ 2 102-124 Decision Trees Sensitivity Analysis Incorporating New Information Prospering in an Information Economy Roger Pinky Decision Tree Sonorola-EVSI Bags & Chips 13 Th 6/ 3 Review for Exam 2 Revised Forecast Questions Revised Decision Questions Quality Questions 14 F 6/ 4 Exam 2: Decision Analysis,  Statistical Quality Control & Forecasting Bring a calculator.  Computers NOT allowed!   You may bring 1 sheet both sides of notes. 15 M 6/ 7 Review of the Course, Tu 6/ 8 Comprehensive Final Exam Bring a calculator.  Computers NOT allowed!   You may bring 1 sheet both sides of notes.